Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -4.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -5.7 (+3.3) | 134.5 (+18.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -4.4 (+4.6) | 134.6 (+18.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -5.9 (+3.1) | 135.7 (+17.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -5.6 (+3.4) | 136.4 (+16.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | OSU 71 – 66 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#30) | 12.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#57) | 1.62 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#45) | 2.35 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#50) | 0.535 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 42.3% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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