And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Buccaneer Fieldhouse · December 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CHSO -2.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money CHSO -125 / CIT +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual CIT +3 149 Lost
Massey CHSO -10.1 (-13.1)
Massey Totals 140.6 (+8.4)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML CHSO -4.7 (-7.7) 141.7 (+7.3) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML CHSO -5.6 (-8.6) 141.7 (+7.3) 71%
Baseline ML CHSO -6.3 (-9.3) 142.0 (+7.0) 71%
Baseline Plus ML CHSO -6.8 (-9.8) 140.1 (+8.9) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2025 CHSO 9686 CIT
Nov 29, 2023 CIT 8152 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO CIT
Overall 10-21 10-22
Conference 5-13 5-13
Home 6-8 5-9
Away 3-12 4-11
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 1-3 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 70.4 66.1
Avg Pts Against 75.4 74.5
Massey -2.3 (#222) -6.0 (#284)
Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#204) -0.45 (#221)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#206) -1.03 (#242)
RPI 0.501 (#169) 0.468 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO CIT
FG% 39.8% 42.6%
3PT% 38.5% 32.1%
REB / G 36.0 33.7
OREB / G 14.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.20 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 49.0%
TOV% 16.3% 20.2%
ORB% 34.4% 23.5%
FT Rate 11.1% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 18.2%
DRB% 64.2% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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