Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +120 CHSO -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +10 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -16.1 (-26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+43.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -4.0 (-14.0) | 134.4 (+47.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -6.0 (-16.0) | 130.5 (+51.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -8.4 (-18.4) | 129.7 (+52.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | CIT 81 – 52 CHSO |
| Dec 1, 2022 | CIT 76 – 73 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#251) | -6.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#244) | -0.19 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#257) | -0.24 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.125 (#300) | 0.750 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.2% | 32.4% |
| 3PT% | 19.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 34.9% | 40.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 6.1% | 9.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 59.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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