Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | GW -138 SC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +24 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GW -13.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -6.1 (+17.9) | 136.0 (-2.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -9.2 (+14.8) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -9.5 (+14.5) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -9.4 (+14.6) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | SC 89 – 67 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#237) | -10.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#275) | -0.17 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#280) | -0.52 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#243) | 0.488 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 11.9% |
Game Analysis
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