Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SC -400 GW +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SC -3.6 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -6.2 (+15.8) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -5.6 (+16.4) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -4.9 (+17.1) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.3 (+15.7) | 148.8 (+7.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | GW 79 – 55 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#96) | 7.8 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#10) | 1.83 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#14) | 2.61 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#43) | 0.629 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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