Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UMES +100 LEH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -6.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -3.8 (+0.2) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -3.5 (+0.5) | 139.9 (-15.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -3.5 (+0.5) | 142.8 (-18.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -3.9 (+0.1) | 143.2 (-19.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | UMES 81 – 75 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#293) | -6.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#270) | -0.19 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#263) | -0.77 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#208) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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