Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -0.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -1.2 (-4.8) | 136.8 (+19.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -3.0 (-3.0) | 135.9 (+20.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -0.4 (-5.6) | 134.5 (+21.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -0.1 (-6.1) | 135.3 (+20.7) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | UMES 64 – 60 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 62.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#282) | 0.3 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.36 (#348) | -0.10 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.17 (#351) | -0.85 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#337) | 0.505 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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