I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Fifth Third Arena · December 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -22.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money CIN -4000 / NJIT +1800
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual CIN +26 146 Won
Massey CIN -11.8 (+14.2)
Massey Totals 131.8 (+14.2)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML CIN -8.6 (+17.4) 135.0 (+11.0) 79%
Model 4 ML CIN -13.5 (+12.5) 135.6 (+10.4) 86%
Model 3 ML CIN -8.5 (+17.5) 138.3 (+7.7) 77%
Baseline ML CIN -8.2 (+17.8) 137.3 (+8.7) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2025 CIN 9467 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN NJIT
Overall 23-13 7-23
Conference 11-7 4-12
Home 16-3 5-8
Away 5-7 2-15
Neutral 2-3 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 76.5 66.5
Avg Pts Against 69.7 73.5
Massey -0.5 (#194) -5.9 (#280)
Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#211) -1.49 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#238) -2.01 (#289)
RPI 0.505 (#166) 0.415 (#289)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN NJIT
FG% 42.9% 41.4%
3PT% 33.6% 31.4%
REB / G 35.7 33.3
OREB / G 12.2 7.7
AST / TO 1.19 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 47.6%
TOV% 15.4% 18.7%
ORB% 32.7% 23.4%
FT Rate 16.9% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 13.5%
DRB% 70.9% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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