Betting Lines
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +27 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -18.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -16.0 (+11.0) | 138.0 (+23.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CIN -18.7 (+8.3) | 139.7 (+21.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CIN -15.4 (+11.6) | 134.3 (+26.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -16.9 (+10.1) | 134.6 (+26.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | CIN 86 – 60 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#113) | -8.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#92) | 0.01 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#82) | -0.26 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#96) | 0.427 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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