Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -110 SHU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -5.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.0 (-9.0) | 149.0 (-22.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.8 (-8.8) | 148.7 (-21.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.9 (-8.9) | 148.0 (-21.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.6 (-8.6) | 145.6 (-18.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | SHU 80 – 63 UNH |
| Dec 1, 2023 | UNH 90 – 84 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#317) | -7.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#307) | -1.10 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#296) | -2.57 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#302) | 0.425 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 10.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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