Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -163 UNH +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +6 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -5.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.8 (-9.8) | 150.4 (+23.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.2 (-10.2) | 145.9 (+28.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.4 (-10.4) | 145.4 (+28.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.4 (-8.4) | 150.7 (+23.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | SHU 80 – 63 UNH |
| Dec 1, 2022 | SHU 66 – 61 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#142) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#209) | 0.80 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#224) | 0.81 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#258) | 0.553 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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