Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | RGV +300 AMCC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.2 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.0 (+15.0) | 154.1 (+16.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.1 (+15.1) | 155.8 (+15.2) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.0 (+14.0) | 156.3 (+14.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -6.0 (+13.0) | 158.8 (+12.2) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#322) | 6.5 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#170) | 1.20 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#186) | 2.72 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#176) | 0.552 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 40.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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