Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | GASO +210 FGCU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -7.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.0 (-9.0) | 136.5 (-13.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.9 (-11.1) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -6.7 (-10.3) | 137.2 (-14.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -7.0 (-10.0) | 137.6 (-14.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | GASO 95 – 94 FGCU |
| Dec 19, 2023 | FGCU 53 – 42 GASO |
| Dec 23, 2020 | FGCU 73 – 60 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#312) | 5.9 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#216) | 1.18 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#253) | 1.81 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#232) | 0.576 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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