Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU +105 GASO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -1.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.8 (+11.2) | 140.2 (-7.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.1 (+9.9) | 140.0 (-7.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.7 (+10.3) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.0 (+11.0) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | GASO 95 – 94 FGCU |
| Dec 19, 2023 | FGCU 53 – 42 GASO |
| Dec 1, 2022 | FGCU 70 – 53 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#244) | -2.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#153) | 0.73 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#173) | 1.12 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#136) | 0.531 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 20.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 11.5% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 63.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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