Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -170 GASO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 189 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -8.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 183.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | FGCU -2.0 (-3.0) | 159.3 (+29.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.7 (-3.7) | 160.5 (+28.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -3.8 (-4.8) | 164.5 (+24.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | FGCU 53 – 42 GASO |
| Dec 1, 2022 | FGCU 70 – 53 GASO |
| Dec 23, 2020 | FGCU 73 – 60 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#280) | -1.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#216) | -0.09 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#224) | -0.17 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.417 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 13.00 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 1.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 35.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 46.2% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
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