Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +110 GWEB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +16 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -4.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -1.2 (-17.2) | 139.5 (-13.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -4.2 (-20.2) | 138.6 (-12.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -4.1 (-20.1) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.6 (-19.6) | 139.7 (-13.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | GWEB 82 – 77 WCU |
| Nov 27, 2021 | GWEB 87 – 59 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#185) | 2.3 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#172) | -0.99 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#222) | -1.31 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#154) | 0.381 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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