Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -120 WCU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -0.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -0.5 (+4.5) | 137.1 (+21.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.0 (+5.0) | 137.1 (+21.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -1.0 (+6.0) | 135.9 (+23.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -1.0 (+6.0) | 136.4 (+22.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | GWEB 71 – 55 WCU |
| Nov 27, 2021 | GWEB 87 – 59 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#171) | 6.0 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#238) | 3.33 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#255) | 4.36 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#231) | 0.644 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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