Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +28 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -2.7 (+25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -2.7 (+25.3) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.3 (+26.7) | 146.9 (-0.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.2 (+25.8) | 148.4 (-2.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.2 (+25.8) | 149.5 (-3.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | GWEB 82 – 77 WCU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | GWEB 71 – 55 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#293) | -2.5 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#255) | 0.29 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#251) | 0.13 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#128) | 0.496 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.