Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -600 ELON +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -20.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -14.8 (-0.8) | 150.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -12.0 (+2.0) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -13.9 (+0.1) | 148.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -14.7 (-0.7) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | HPU 83 – 77 ELON |
| Nov 28, 2020 | ELON 76 – 75 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | -12.2 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#60) | -4.08 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#76) | -6.09 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#22) | 0.324 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.