Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -1600 HAMP +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +19 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -17.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -14.1 (+4.9) | 139.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -12.7 (+6.3) | 140.1 (-13.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -13.3 (+5.7) | 137.1 (-10.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -12.8 (+6.2) | 138.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#176) | -10.7 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#196) | -2.72 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#239) | -4.01 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#83) | 0.361 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.