Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -200 UNI +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +15 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.0 (+9.0) | 138.7 (-17.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -6.5 (+8.5) | 135.3 (-14.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.4 (+8.6) | 138.7 (-17.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.1 (+7.9) | 139.2 (-18.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#143) | -2.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#208) | -1.16 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#200) | -1.21 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#211) | 0.408 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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