Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -175 DETM +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -6.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -2.5 (-11.5) | 139.9 (+1.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -4.0 (-13.0) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.3 (-12.3) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -3.3 (-12.3) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#202) | -0.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#134) | 0.36 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#126) | 0.70 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#104) | 0.536 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.