Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MER -163 KENN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MER -5.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -3.2 (-6.2) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MER -2.6 (-5.6) | 138.8 (-9.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -4.3 (-7.3) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MER -4.1 (-7.1) | 145.2 (-16.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | MER 73 – 71 KENN |
| Dec 22, 2020 | MER 81 – 71 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#211) | -1.0 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#238) | 0.37 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | 0.09 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#273) | 0.517 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 38.3% |
Game Analysis
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