Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | KENN +140 MER -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -6.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -3.8 (-5.8) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.9 (-2.9) | 142.5 (+1.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -4.3 (-6.3) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -4.1 (-6.1) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | KENN 66 – 63 MER |
| Dec 22, 2020 | MER 81 – 71 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#213) | -2.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#268) | -0.65 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#261) | -1.01 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#184) | 0.493 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.