Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | KENN +800 MER -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MER -11.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -9.1 (-0.9) | 135.2 (+16.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MER -7.4 (-2.6) | 137.8 (+14.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -8.3 (-1.7) | 133.6 (+18.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MER -9.0 (-1.0) | 134.6 (+17.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | KENN 66 – 63 MER |
| Dec 2, 2021 | MER 73 – 71 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 8-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#262) | 9.0 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#274) | 3.15 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#257) | 4.78 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#221) | 0.741 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 22.6% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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