Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | NJIT +225 BUCK -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -0.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -0.7 (-15.3) | 133.5 (+8.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.3 (-15.7) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -0.3 (-15.7) | 135.7 (+6.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -0.1 (-15.9) | 132.4 (+9.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | BUCK 81 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#313) | -0.9 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#296) | -0.94 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#282) | -1.25 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#293) | 0.450 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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