Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -800 NJIT +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -23.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -16.4 (+0.6) | 143.3 (+1.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -17.1 (-0.1) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -15.3 (+1.7) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -14.5 (+2.5) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | BUCK 79 – 63 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#178) | -17.5 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#110) | -4.41 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#99) | -6.36 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#111) | 0.276 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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