Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -1400 UIC +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -16.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -11.0 (+2.0) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -14.4 (-1.4) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.7 (+2.3) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.9 (+2.1) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#71) | -4.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#37) | -1.32 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#39) | -2.07 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#28) | 0.425 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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