Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -700 EVAN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -11.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -5.6 (+11.4) | 136.1 (-9.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -9.9 (+7.1) | 131.7 (-4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -5.4 (+11.6) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -5.2 (+11.8) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 8-8 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#222) | -7.4 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#288) | -1.59 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#274) | -2.50 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#302) | 0.401 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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