I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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72–17 on winners spread MAE 8.3 89 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas +25.0 145.1 91% 58–88 ✓
Kansas @ St. John's -1.4 157.0 36% 95–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Florida +11.7 131.2 70% 65–64 ✗
Colgate @ Northeastern +1.5 134.7 61% 69–74 ✓
Charleston @ Furman +10.6 158.4 79% 88–91 ✓
Coppin State @ Cornell +12.1 160.7 85% 77–92 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -2.2 141.9 41% 69–59 ✓
Rider @ Iona +13.0 144.8 87% 54–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena -2.6 132.4 38% 77–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Niagara +1.1 133.4 45% 57–49 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius +0.1 144.2 53% 74–68 ✗
Rutgers @ Illinois +8.6 137.4 82% 51–86 ✓
Bryant @ Houston +19.9 144.4 90% 44–111 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP +1.7 138.2 50% 72–69 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Louisiana +6.1 143.5 74% 67–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +13.4 121.9 88% 56–57 ✓
Iowa @ Purdue +8.7 156.2 84% 70–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Boise State +10.9 129.4 84% 58–63 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Santa Barbara +12.5 136.6 85% 74–86 ✓
VMI @ Portland +5.3 146.4 71% 90–82 ✗
North Dakota @ San José State +8.7 138.6 81% 51–76 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +22.8 144.7 90% 52–81 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss -1.5 140.4 55% 63–67 ✗
Harvard @ Massachusetts +5.2 154.2 77% 77–87 ✓
Clemson @ Miami -0.5 139.4 50% 75–80 ✗
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +3.7 140.2 71% 69–77 ✓
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -13.6 126.5 14% 78–45 ✓
Nebraska @ Indiana +12.6 155.7 85% 55–68 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +11.4 138.9 85% 76–89 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +6.3 128.2 78% 58–72 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina +2.6 146.2 61% 64–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Loyola Maryland +8.3 131.9 82% 55–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Indiana State +2.3 147.5 61% 68–69 ✓
Binghamton @ Boston University +11.9 137.1 85% 63–68 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.3 137.5 45% 57–71 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Omaha -10.4 148.7 15% 92–81 ✓
Tennessee @ Colorado -4.2 142.6 30% 69–54 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +15.3 151.3 87% 64–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Western Illinois +12.3 145.2 86% 64–81 ✓
Georgia State @ Mercer +1.7 145.5 54% 77–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Hofstra +14.1 156.7 87% 69–88 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulane +4.6 138.0 74% 64–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ UNC Asheville +6.5 137.3 76% 66–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Evansville +0.3 132.8 62% 51–59 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +5.9 132.1 80% 52–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ La Salle +9.5 135.7 81% 65–84 ✓
George Washington @ Charlotte +5.4 136.9 78% 79–86 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +11.9 132.9 87% 66–77 ✓
Louisville @ NC State -0.1 147.7 44% 73–68 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +11.6 140.1 78% 80–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Dayton +17.6 128.9 89% 41–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +17.1 138.3 90% 58–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Bradley +4.4 133.9 67% 55–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina +3.9 140.1 69% 52–62 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe +11.1 149.2 87% 71–84 ✓
William & Mary @ Davidson +20.1 137.3 90% 46–70 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +6.2 143.3 75% 75–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Ohio +11.9 145.7 84% 75–78 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas +23.7 150.1 91% 78–93 ✓
BYU @ Missouri State -0.8 141.0 36% 74–68 ✓
Grambling @ UConn +28.6 148.6 91% 59–88 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -8.1 140.1 21% 68–66 ✓
Army @ Air Force +3.1 129.5 63% 58–76 ✓
Radford @ West Virginia +15.2 128.4 88% 51–67 ✓
Jackson State @ Illinois State +4.9 144.9 62% 61–55 ✗
Drexel @ Princeton +5.2 147.7 73% 79–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ DePaul +1.6 147.0 54% 68–64 ✗
Campbell @ VCU +5.2 122.2 68% 61–65 ✓
McNeese @ Wyoming +24.0 144.2 90% 58–79 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +21.9 149.0 90% 65–98 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Colorado State +7.0 138.4 75% 58–74 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Temple +5.0 139.2 75% 72–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ New Hampshire +14.6 135.3 89% 45–67 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +10.0 149.2 81% 63–60 ✗
Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure +4.3 150.2 74% 65–68 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Lehigh -3.0 135.9 35% 81–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Baylor +28.5 149.2 91% 54–99 ✓
Toledo @ Michigan State +10.3 145.6 82% 68–81 ✓
Southern Utah @ Idaho -13.4 157.2 13% 81–75 ✓
Tennessee State @ Chicago State +4.5 135.9 70% 49–59 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Santa Clara +6.9 153.6 71% 78–75 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State +11.8 141.6 86% 82–95 ✓
American University @ Howard +10.3 143.9 76% 56–90 ✓
USC @ Washington State +1.1 141.7 45% 63–61 ✗
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +0.4 148.6 43% 78–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ SMU +0.2 137.7 49% 72–84 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hampton -6.2 138.3 31% 57–58 ✗
UAB @ Saint Louis +3.9 149.4 64% 77–72 ✗
Wagner @ Stony Brook -4.1 136.8 34% 78–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.