Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -26.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +29 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -31.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -28.6 (+0.4) | 148.6 (-1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -22.8 (+6.2) | 147.9 (-0.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -27.7 (+1.3) | 147.9 (-0.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -28.1 (+0.9) | 149.9 (-2.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#8) | -8.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#34) | -0.45 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#30) | -0.68 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#87) | 0.499 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 40.1% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.