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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–6 on winners spread MAE 8.2 28 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Drexel	+11.0	143.7	84%	65–86	✓
Sacred Heart @ Lafayette	+4.8	142.5	59%	74–67	✗
Long Island University @ Towson	+11.2	137.7	87%	63–72	✓
Delaware @ Delaware State	-8.4	142.1	20%	59–48	✓
Missouri @ Liberty	+7.3	123.5	75%	45–66	✓
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne	+2.9	149.7	58%	86–73	✗
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State	+3.3	135.0	68%	58–72	✓
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis	-6.3	123.7	21%	69–45	✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado	+3.2	143.2	63%	75–77	✓
Oral Roberts @ TCU	+11.3	147.7	86%	63–71	✓
Lamar @ Mississippi State	+22.8	141.0	91%	60–75	✓
Jacksonville @ Charleston Southern	-9.1	132.2	19%	67–56	✓
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee	-2.3	137.5	34%	70–68	✓
Robert Morris @ Green Bay	+5.7	138.5	74%	58–70	✓
Oakland @ UIC	-2.5	137.5	36%	81–77	✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont	+12.1	153.4	87%	65–94	✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State	+15.4	142.5	88%	44–67	✓
Portland State @ Idaho State	+2.1	127.3	51%	63–55	✗
Southern Utah @ Eastern Washington	+6.7	156.7	73%	89–76	✗
UTSA @ Grand Canyon	+16.7	132.8	88%	71–74	✓
Saint Mary's @ Utah State	+7.1	133.4	78%	60–58	✗
Valparaiso @ Drake	+14.2	137.1	87%	66–73	✓
Denver @ Wyoming	+20.3	140.8	90%	64–77	✓
Montana @ Sacramento State	+2.4	134.9	46%	65–58	✗
Cal Poly @ California Baptist	+10.2	133.5	83%	55–64	✓
Eastern Michigan @ UC San Diego	+10.1	143.9	85%	74–83	✓
Oregon State @ California	+3.9	132.8	69%	61–73	✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College	+3.4	129.3	67%	57–73	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.