Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -7.0 Away covered
O/U 130.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual DETM +24 114 Lost
Massey DETM -1.8 (-22.2) — —
Massey Totals — 124.5 (-10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 24% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -6.3 (-17.7) 123.7 (-9.7) 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -3.6 (-20.4) 128.8 (-14.8) 40% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -5.9 (-18.1) 129.1 (-15.1) 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DETM -8.8 (-15.2) 127.8 (-13.8) 22% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 DETM 80 – 77 IUIN
Dec 4, 2025 DETM 92 – 78 IUIN
Feb 20, 2025 IUIN 80 – 71 DETM
Jan 9, 2025 IUIN 95 – 61 DETM
Feb 15, 2024 DETM 81 – 66 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN DETM
Overall 3-26 14-16
Conference 1-16 10-7
Home 2-11 9-1
Away 1-13 5-15
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 51.3 69.9
Avg Pts Against 68.4 71.2
Massey -9.5 (#323) -1.6 (#209)
Bradley-Terry -3.04 (#339) -1.38 (#277)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.47 (#337) -1.84 (#276)
RPI 0.297 (#355) 0.460 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN DETM
FG% 37.6% 40.8%
3PT% 27.1% 35.9%
REB / G 33.6 31.5
OREB / G 9.0 10.0
AST / TO 0.60 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.6% 48.9%
TOV% 27.2% 19.4%
ORB% 27.4% 27.9%
FT Rate 16.1% 14.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 59.6%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 15.8%
DRB% 71.1% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 34.1% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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