And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -3.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money MILW -150 / YSU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual YSU +2 138 Lost
Massey YSU -2.0 (-0.0) — —
Massey Totals — 131.9 (+6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 44% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -2.3 (+0.3) 137.5 (+0.5) 34% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -2.4 (+0.4) 136.6 (+1.4) 39% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -2.7 (+0.7) 137.1 (+0.9) 35% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -3.4 (+1.4) 135.8 (+2.2) 33% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 MILW 78 – 65 YSU
Jan 24, 2026 MILW 65 – 64 YSU
Feb 22, 2025 MILW 84 – 74 YSU
Jan 18, 2025 MILW 79 – 64 YSU
Feb 24, 2024 YSU 84 – 80 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW YSU
Overall 10-22 19-15
Conference 8-14 12-9
Home 6-10 13-7
Away 4-10 6-8
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.5 71.6
Avg Pts Against 71.4 70.8
Massey -8.5 (#313) -0.4 (#185)
Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#324) -0.86 (#253)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.63 (#305) -0.93 (#239)
RPI 0.364 (#330) 0.404 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW YSU
FG% 39.1% 45.1%
3PT% 28.9% 32.7%
REB / G 37.8 33.4
OREB / G 9.2 8.2
AST / TO 0.77 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.5% 51.1%
TOV% 18.9% 15.2%
ORB% 24.2% 24.3%
FT Rate 18.8% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 16.6%
DRB% 66.7% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 15.8% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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