But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Horizon League · Resch Center · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread GB -2.0 Home covered
O/U 134.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +12 128 Won
Massey GB -7.5 (+4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 140.7 (-12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GB -5.7 (+6.3) 138.5 (-10.5) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GB -3.8 (+8.2) 139.8 (-11.8) 68% ✓
Baseline ML GB -3.5 (+8.5) 139.7 (-11.7) 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GB -4.7 (+7.3) 139.3 (-11.3) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 71 – 67 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 80 – 78 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 94 – 85 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 89 – 67 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 81 – 76 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB RMU
Overall 5-25 8-24
Conference 4-16 5-16
Home 4-9 4-10
Away 1-13 4-14
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.2 68.4
Avg Pts Against 69.7 75.5
Massey -6.3 (#282) -7.7 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -2.71 (#336) -2.83 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.47 (#327) -4.33 (#335)
RPI 0.470 (#222) 0.415 (#291)
Shooting & Four Factors GB RMU
FG% 36.3% 41.4%
3PT% 26.9% 30.5%
REB / G 32.4 32.4
OREB / G 9.8 8.6
AST / TO 0.93 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.0% 46.3%
TOV% 17.4% 19.6%
ORB% 26.2% 23.8%
FT Rate 18.1% 18.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 14.9%
DRB% 68.1% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 30.2% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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