Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -295 EMU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -11.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -10.8 (-1.8) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -10.1 (-1.1) | 143.9 (+13.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.5 (-0.5) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -10.0 (-1.0) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UCSD 66 – 63 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | -2.8 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#135) | -0.04 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#77) | 0.66 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#181) | 0.546 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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