Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -5.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.3 (+10.7) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.7 (+11.3) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.2 (+11.8) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -3.2 (+10.8) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#235) | -2.9 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#240) | -1.24 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#233) | -1.34 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#248) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 10.9% |
Game Analysis
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