Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -8.0 Push |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -15.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -11.3 (-3.3) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -13.1 (-5.1) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -13.6 (-5.6) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -13.9 (-5.9) | 149.1 (-15.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | TCU 72 – 53 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | -5.9 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#103) | -1.38 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#121) | -1.20 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#88) | 0.466 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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