Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -8000 ORU +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -20.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -19.6 (-0.6) | 147.9 (-22.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -17.7 (+1.3) | 143.4 (-18.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -19.4 (-0.4) | 144.4 (-19.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -19.9 (-0.9) | 145.5 (-20.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2021 | TCU 71 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#62) | -6.7 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#78) | -1.03 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#63) | -1.09 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.445 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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