Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +21 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -13.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -11.0 (+10.0) | 143.7 (+7.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -10.1 (+10.9) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -10.3 (+10.7) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -10.8 (+10.2) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | DREX 85 – 68 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#183) | -7.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#214) | -2.16 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#244) | -3.69 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#219) | 0.430 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.