Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -16.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -14.2 (-7.2) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.7 (-3.7) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -11.8 (-4.8) | 137.9 (+1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -11.6 (-4.6) | 139.4 (-0.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAL 74 – 71 DRKE |
| Feb 10, 2026 | VAL 81 – 76 DRKE |
| Jan 23, 2025 | DRKE 81 – 71 VAL |
| Dec 6, 2024 | DRKE 66 – 60 VAL |
| Feb 1, 2024 | DRKE 81 – 70 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#58) | -2.9 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#231) | -1.09 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#197) | -1.41 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#179) | 0.407 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 5.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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