Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +140 JAX -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -11.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -8.8 (-2.2) | 132.9 (-9.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -9.1 (-1.9) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -7.7 (-3.3) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -7.8 (-3.2) | 134.9 (-11.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | JAX 72 – 63 CHSO |
Game Analysis
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