Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | JAX -700 CHSO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -13.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -10.5 (-1.5) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -11.1 (-2.1) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -10.1 (-1.1) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -11.6 (-2.6) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2021 | JAX 67 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#136) | -6.8 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | -1.38 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#64) | -1.84 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#28) | 0.445 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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