I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Arena-Auditorium · December 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -19.0 Away covered
O/U 136.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +13 141 Won
Massey WYO -25.2 (-12.2)
Massey Totals 137.2 (+3.8)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML WYO -20.3 (-7.3) 140.8 (+0.2) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -19.7 (-6.7) 140.7 (+0.3) 91%
Baseline ML WYO -21.5 (-8.5) 138.6 (+2.4) 90%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -21.9 (-8.9) 139.2 (+1.8) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2025 WYO 10159 DEN
Dec 10, 2020 WYO 8361 DEN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO DEN
Overall 25-9 11-21
Conference 13-5 7-11
Home 14-1 6-7
Away 8-5 4-12
Neutral 3-3 1-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 70.6
Avg Pts Against 65.7 74.8
Massey 17.4 (#6) -1.8 (#215)
Bradley-Terry 4.13 (#1) -0.91 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry 6.04 (#2) -1.48 (#264)
RPI 0.593 (#57) 0.429 (#275)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO DEN
FG% 51.6% 45.2%
3PT% 35.6% 36.1%
REB / G 39.6 30.2
OREB / G 8.0 6.8
AST / TO 1.08 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.0% 52.2%
TOV% 15.3% 19.3%
ORB% 24.4% 21.7%
FT Rate 24.2% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 38.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 21.7%
DRB% 73.8% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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