Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–14 on winners spread MAE 8.1 67 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Villanova @ Pennsylvania -11.5 142.1 15% 71–56 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +10.6 130.9 83% 63–85 ✓
Dartmouth @ Vermont +4.9 132.7 70% 65–83 ✓
Lehigh @ Yale +11.5 142.9 85% 72–82 ✓
Princeton @ Hofstra +4.5 152.1 71% 77–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Morehead State +5.6 127.7 77% 51–59 ✓
UT Martin @ Middle Tennessee +14.3 140.0 87% 61–73 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Atlantic +3.6 139.0 73% 73–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Saint Francis +9.0 156.9 81% 67–93 ✓
Holy Cross @ Central Connecticut +3.6 136.6 63% 67–73 ✓
William & Mary @ Navy +19.1 129.3 89% 56–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ UNC Wilmington +1.3 136.3 50% 74–69 ✗
South Carolina @ Coastal Carolina -3.0 131.6 40% 56–80 ✗
Cincinnati @ Miami (OH) +2.6 141.2 55% 59–58 ✗
Richmond @ Wofford +5.7 146.4 73% 73–64 ✗
La Salle @ Temple +8.7 138.5 75% 57–73 ✓
Boston University @ George Washington -5.9 132.6 27% 56–54 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Maryland +10.9 136.1 84% 64–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ Harvard +1.7 139.0 49% 64–57 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fordham +7.7 142.2 81% 46–68 ✓
Brown @ UMass Lowell +5.9 131.4 66% 73–63 ✗
Columbia @ UMBC +12.0 147.5 84% 60–98 ✓
Alabama State @ Dayton +12.7 143.0 87% 54–93 ✓
Binghamton @ Saint Joseph's +4.9 146.1 72% 57–79 ✓
Coppin State @ St. Bonaventure +16.1 140.0 88% 81–93 ✓
Mercer @ Kennesaw State +0.9 142.5 53% 73–71 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International +4.1 141.8 68% 61–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -3.0 127.3 39% 54–52 ✓
Iona @ Marist -3.3 142.4 36% 78–71 ✓
Ball State @ Western Illinois +7.4 152.8 82% 80–93 ✓
Bowling Green @ Duquesne +4.7 152.4 64% 78–70 ✗
Marshall @ Akron +1.7 140.7 59% 86–88 ✓
Memphis @ Georgia -7.3 143.2 30% 79–82 ✗
Louisville @ Michigan State +8.8 135.7 78% 64–73 ✓
Nebraska @ NC State +8.7 149.4 79% 100–104 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Maryland -6.2 130.7 27% 62–58 ✓
Texas Southern @ Louisiana Tech +6.0 144.2 74% 60–87 ✓
Hartford @ Winthrop +10.2 147.6 82% 75–82 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UAB +11.7 139.1 81% 56–70 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State -4.2 142.6 30% 51–29 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +26.4 153.3 91% 60–97 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma +1.8 132.8 61% 67–74 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Iowa State +22.5 142.0 90% 64–83 ✓
UCF @ Auburn +12.1 142.9 86% 68–85 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Alabama +13.8 138.0 84% 55–85 ✓
Wichita State @ Oklahoma State +8.7 135.3 68% 60–51 ✗
UNLV @ SMU +9.2 137.7 78% 64–83 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.8 151.5 52% 83–77 ✗
UAlbany @ Kansas State +11.6 132.6 84% 43–71 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +0.7 139.7 56% 69–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -7.0 155.8 37% 74–79 ✗
Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago +15.6 147.3 89% 76–88 ✓
Ohio @ LSU +15.3 138.7 88% 51–66 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Northern Illinois +9.9 124.5 85% 45–55 ✓
Texas Tech @ Providence +0.7 135.6 57% 68–72 ✓
BYU @ Utah Valley -2.6 145.3 36% 65–72 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ North Alabama +15.7 136.9 89% 58–72 ✓
Little Rock @ Colorado State +19.7 151.7 89% 55–86 ✓
Pacific @ UC Davis +3.0 136.3 68% 57–63 ✓
Wisconsin @ Georgia Tech -1.7 131.7 35% 70–66 ✓
Michigan @ North Carolina +3.3 147.2 66% 51–72 ✓
Miami @ Penn State +10.3 138.6 81% 63–58 ✗
Colorado @ UCLA +12.6 149.6 83% 61–73 ✓
UC Riverside @ Oregon +5.8 128.3 78% 65–71 ✓
San Diego @ Fresno State +5.6 126.9 75% 43–63 ✓
McNeese @ Seattle U +13.5 142.5 89% 62–78 ✓
Utah @ USC +8.6 141.5 73% 73–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.