Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -8.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.5 (-0.5) | 152.1 (+5.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.6 (-1.6) | 155.6 (+2.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.6 (-1.6) | 154.1 (+3.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.7 (-0.7) | 154.2 (+3.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | PRIN 74 – 67 HOF |
| Nov 8, 2022 | HOF 83 – 77 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-2 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#90) | 2.9 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#196) | 1.82 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#189) | 2.67 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#171) | 0.597 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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