Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SC -3.4 (+27.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -3.0 (+27.0) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.7 (+25.7) | 134.4 (+1.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -2.6 (+26.6) | 133.8 (+2.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -1.2 (+25.2) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#270) | 4.1 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#236) | 1.48 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#267) | 2.18 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#281) | 0.597 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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