Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -6.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.3 (+35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.7 (+12.3) | 127.6 (+20.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -5.2 (+12.8) | 125.4 (+22.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.0 (+13.0) | 125.4 (+22.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.9 (+13.1) | 132.7 (+15.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | DART 84 – 54 UVM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVM 64 – 53 DART |
| Dec 7, 2022 | UVM 68 – 52 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 5-5 |
| Away | 10-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#121) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#128) | 1.08 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#119) | 0.92 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#103) | 0.579 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 8.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.