Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DART +188 UVM -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -1.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -1.8 (-17.8) | 140.6 (-20.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -2.2 (-18.2) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -2.2 (-18.2) | 141.6 (-21.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -0.4 (-15.6) | 138.4 (-18.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | DART 84 – 54 UVM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVM 64 – 53 DART |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UVM 83 – 65 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#294) | -2.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#252) | -0.50 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#272) | -0.50 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#238) | 0.452 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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