Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -1000 DART +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -23.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -16.7 (-5.7) | 129.4 (-12.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -16.3 (-5.3) | 133.2 (-16.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -15.0 (-4.0) | 133.1 (-16.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -15.8 (-4.8) | 133.4 (-16.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | DART 84 – 54 UVM |
| Dec 7, 2022 | UVM 68 – 52 DART |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UVM 83 – 65 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 2-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-4 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#103) | -11.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#46) | -1.27 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#37) | -1.15 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#19) | 0.450 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 18.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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